Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.373016 1.707417 2.153906 2.819815 3.840125e+00 5.451502 8.470916
2025-08-31 0.923123 1.253026 1.762342 2.683461 4.538510e+00 8.931922 25.762943
2025-09-07 0.745398 1.073440 1.634736 2.815618 5.866295e+00 17.467530 231.561783
2025-09-14 0.623787 0.933092 1.499762 2.828559 7.034507e+00 33.680093 NaN
2025-09-21 0.532405 0.816597 1.361839 2.743132 7.876334e+00 63.875830 NaN
2025-09-28 0.469071 0.734652 1.264545 2.702123 8.943674e+00 154.035599 NaN
2025-10-05 0.441882 0.712818 1.284817 3.006401 1.275491e+01 8311.583698 NaN
2025-10-12 0.411141 0.677498 1.263703 3.176128 1.691443e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.377137 0.629583 1.199646 3.158294 1.986736e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.344282 0.579205 1.117979 3.029243 2.132221e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.324132 0.552570 1.090654 3.110505 2.729376e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.309353 0.535205 1.083463 3.282025 3.892615e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.290324 0.506736 1.041746 3.277527 4.840691e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.269693 0.472577 0.978246 3.131423 5.160898e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.259308 0.460140 0.974077 3.302792 8.288974e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.246428 0.440542 0.945138 3.320153 1.141725e+02 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.232306 0.416700 0.899482 3.212349 1.305035e+02 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.220692 0.397651 0.865432 3.160678 1.651628e+02 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.217864 0.398836 0.893867 3.546431 7.387628e+02 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.211979 0.392077 0.895909 3.763660 7.635285e+03 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.203126 0.377293 0.869076 3.740768 3.630320e+05 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.193111 0.358913 0.827713 3.575583 8.617163e+06 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.187320 0.350483 0.818681 3.679501 NaN NaN NaN